How likely is AI to take over your job?

How likely is AI to take over your job?

~ 2 min read


The question everyone is quietly asking: is my job safe? It now has a structured answer, at least by occupation type.

Using the UK Office for National Statistics Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) 2020, I’ve assessed all 26 sub-major occupation groups on a 1–10 scale for how likely AI is to substantially take over the core work of that role, meaning the majority of tasks could be performed by AI to a standard that reduces demand for human workers. A score of 1 means very safe; 10 means very high risk of automation.

Why use the SOC 2020 grouping

The SOC 2020 is the definitive UK framework for categorising jobs, used by the ONS for labour market statistics, salary surveys, and employment research. Grouping at the sub-major level gives a meaningful picture without getting lost in the detail of hundreds of individual job titles.

A few themes stand out:

  • Administrative and secretarial roles sit at the top of the risk table. Structured, repetitive, document-heavy work is exactly what current AI tools do well.
  • Skilled trades and caring roles are among the safest. Physical adaptability, unpredictable environments, and genuine human connection are challenging to automate.
  • Professional occupations are mixed. AI is a strong assistant in many of these roles, but deep expertise, judgement under uncertainty, and client trust keep humans in the loop for now.

The ratings are illustrative assessments based on the nature of the work, not econometric forecasts. Use them as a starting point for thinking about where your role sits on the spectrum, and what skills might be worth developing.

Caveat: AI capabilities are evolving month on month. Reassess regularly; the scores here reflect the landscape as of early 2026 and some will shift as new tools emerge.

Explore the full dataset below.

SOC groups
26
Average risk
4.8
Highest risk
9 / 10
Lowest risk
2 / 10

Click any bar for a quick summary, or use the table below for the full keyboard-accessible dataset.

Risk scale
1 — Safe5 — Moderate10 — Very high
Accessible data table

This table mirrors the current filter and sort selection, including the rationale for each score.

AI replacement risk scores and rationales for UK SOC 2020 occupation groups.
SOC Occupation group Risk Rationale
Based on the UK ONS Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) 2020. Risk scores are illustrative assessments of AI replacement likelihood, not predictive forecasts. Generated March 2026.

Want to dig deeper into your specific role? The ONS publishes detailed unit group descriptions within each sub-major group.

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